WNBA Picks for July 12, 2026

Picks

Xu, Talbot, Gray, Ogunbuwale, Mabrey

  • Pick #1 — Han Xu profiles as a high-risk, salary-saving GPP flier in the Diamond Life WNBA Solver—her low projection (12.94 FPTS) and limited expected minutes (12.3) suppress her Solver-Adjusted Ceiling, but her strong team environment (92.8 Team Score), efficient per-minute production (3.2 AFPM), and near-zero ownership give her deep-tournament leverage if she earns more court time than projected.
  • Pick #2 — Stephanie Talbot grades as a low-cost GPP value option in the Diamond Life WNBA Solver—while her baseline projection is modest (11.84 FPTS), her projected workload (19.3 minutes), favorable team context (92.5 Team Score, 62% win probability), and salary relief make her a viable tournament punt if she exceeds her typical offensive involvement.
  • Pick #3 — **Chelsea Gray** profiles as one of the stronger mid-range guard values in the Diamond Life WNBA Solver, pairing a solid **29.0 FPTS projection** with a **4.83x value rating**, consistent **33-minute workload**, elite **7.5 assists per game**, and a favorable team environment (92.5 Team Score, 62% win probability), giving her an excellent blend of floor and tournament ceiling.
  • Pick #4 — Arike Ogunbowale projects as one of the strongest tournament values in the Diamond Life WNBA Solver, combining a 23.28 FPTS projection with 4.56x value, a 93.5 Team Score, 78% win probability, 83.8 pace environment, and a high-usage offensive profile, giving her meaningful upside if her scoring efficiency exceeds expectation.
  • Pick #5 — Marina Mabrey rates as one of the premier mid-tier tournament plays in the Diamond Life WNBA Solver, pairing a 40.55 Solver-Adjusted Ceiling Projection with strong value, heavy expected minutes, and an expanded offensive role, making her one of the best combinations of floor, ceiling, and GPP-winning upside on the slate.

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