Diamond Life DFS Solves Interleague Soccer DFS Solver for 11/2/26
Initial slate observations
The first priority is Atalanta (ATA), which has the highest listed team goal expectation at 2.12 goals. Jonathan Rowe ($9,300) and Nikola Krstovic ($11,600) lead the attacking projections, while Lorenzo Bernasconi ($4,400) offers a more affordable way to access the same team environment.
Newcastle (NEW) offers an interesting salary contrast. Jacob Murphy is projected for 9.90 points at just $5,200, compared with Harvey Barnes at 8.83 points and $9,500. Murphy stands out as an early value candidate, although his true ceiling needs to be tested through simulation.
Deportivo (DEP) also has several projected attacking options clustered near 9.45 fantasy points, including Bil Nsongo, Mario Soriano Carreno and Luismi Cruz. That creates an opportunity to compare salary efficiency and correlated upside rather than simply choosing the highest projection.
Important data limitation: The upload does not contain an RST% ownership column. I’ll distinguish estimated leverage proxies from genuine projected-ownership metrics so the output doesn’t imply that actual field ownership is known.
Solver export complete
Download Diamond Life Soccer DFS Solver v1.0 — Excel Workbook
66
Players analyzed
50K
Simulations
11
Excel tabs
Top 10 SACP ceiling targets
| Rank | Player | Salary | SACP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Rowe (ATA) | $9,300 | 28.60 |
| 2 | Nikola Krstovic (ATA) | $11,600 | 28.41 |
| 3 | Mario Soriano Carreno (DEP) | $6,900 | 25.16 |
| 4 | Charles De Ketelaere (ATA) | $8,400 | 25.11 |
| 5 | Bil Nsongo (DEP) | $5,600 | 25.10 |
| 6 | Yeremay Hernandez (DEP) | $7,900 | 24.39 |
| 7 | Jacob Murphy (NEW) | $5,200 | 23.68 |
| 8 | Jonathan Dubasin (OSA) | $5,500 | 22.63 |
| 9 | Luismi Cruz (DEP) | $6,100 | 22.36 |
| 10 | Harvey Barnes (NEW) | $9,500 | 22.25 |
These are simulated ceiling estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. The initial model uses correlated team goals, attacking events, minutes volatility and goalkeeper scoring scenarios.
Early tournament priorities
Primary attacking anchor: Jonathan Rowe. He narrowly leads the modeled SACP rankings and costs $2,300 less than Krstovic. That salary difference is meaningful when evaluating the opportunity cost of paying for Atalanta’s attacking ceiling.
Best midrange attacking value: Bil Nsongo. At $5,600, he offers a simulated SACP of 25.10. Mario Soriano Carreno is another strong Deportivo target, particularly when considering team correlation.
Best inexpensive midfielder: Jacob Murphy. His $5,200 salary, 9.90-point baseline projection and 23.68 modeled SACP make him one of the strongest initial salary-adjusted options.
High-upside pivot: Charles De Ketelaere. At $8,400, he provides access to Atalanta’s favorable scoring environment without requiring the same salary commitment as Krstovic.
Team environment rankings
Total modeled team SACP
Sum of player SACP by team; not a projected team fantasy score.
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Atalanta leads the aggregate ceiling rankings, followed by Deportivo and Newcastle. However, summing player ceilings does not mean all those individual ceilings can occur together. Actual stack selection should use the joint simulated outcomes and DraftKings roster constraints.
Model limitations to account for
This first run is a provisional, projection-centered Monte Carlo model, not a historically calibrated soccer simulation. The workbook contains modeled SACP and salary-adjusted right-tail proxies.
Because the upload lacks projected ownership, full ownership-adjusted Tail Leverage, XVO v3.1 and Right-Tail MME Separation cannot yet be calculated reliably. Those fields are identified separately in the workbook rather than presented as confirmed ownership-based scores.
My initial slate direction: Build the core research around Atalanta’s attacking ceiling, Deportivo’s midrange opportunities and Newcastle’s salary-efficient midfield options. Before committing to single-entry or 3-Max selections, confirm starting lineups and reassess minutes risk.
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