Here’s the DK Slate at a glance As always, we have to ask about the elephant in the room, big Scottie:
Scottie Scheffler — $14,400 | 51.2% RST
- Proj: 129.49 | P95: 204.6 | P99: 253.0
- SACP: 201.1 (#1) | Tail Leverage: 28.59
- Take: The raw ceiling gap is massive—the next-best SACP is Matt Fitzpatrick at 125.1. Despite the high ownership, Scottie isn’t bad chalk. He is the primary spend-up anchor for Single Entry and small-field GPPs.
Upper-Tier Alternatives
| Golfer | Salary | RST% | Proj | P95 | P99 | SACP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Fitzpatrick | $9,300 | 23.7% | 83.17 | 127.2 | 154.3 | 125.1 |
| Ludvig Aberg | $9,700 | 13.7% | 80.38 | 127.0 | 156.4 | 124.6 |
| Cameron Young | $9,400 | 21.2% | 83.60 | 126.4 | 152.5 | 124.3 |
| Xander Schauffele | $9,900 | 11.2% | 79.37 | 122.5 | 148.7 | 120.3 |
| Russell Henley | $8,400 | 13.3% | 77.83 | 120.2 | 146.5 | 118.0 |
- Primary Targets: Aberg and Schauffele. While Fitzpatrick and Young project slightly higher, Aberg brings the non-Scottie slate-high P99 (156.4) at half the ownership, and Xander offers elite leverage at just 11.2% RST.
Best Pure Separator: J.J. Spaun
J.J. Spaun — $7,600 | 3.8% RST
- Proj: 68.37 | P95: 107.9 | P99: 133.0
- SACP: 105.9 | Tail Leverage: 55.29 (#2 overall)
- Take: Highest SACP on the slate among players under 8% ownership. Upper-tail outcome matches far more popular golfers at a fraction of the field usage.
Best Value & Core Play: Ben Griffin
Ben Griffin — $6,900 | 5.3% RST
- Proj: 69.43 | Value: 10.06 | P95: 106.9 | P99: 130.1
- SACP: 105.1 | Tail Leverage: 46.37
- Take: #1 overall combined GPP profile. Provides the necessary salary relief to comfortably fit Scottie Scheffler without sacrificing ceiling.
$6K Range Priorities
- Ben Griffin ($6,900 / 5.3%) — Best overall blend of production, value, and leverage.
- Justin Rose ($6,800 / 7.0%) — 68.95 Proj, 130.8 P99; outstanding ceiling for the price.
- Alex Noren ($6,900 / 5.9%) — 123.7 P99 with strong leverage metrics.
- Eric Cole ($6,300 / 7.8%) — 10.20 Value rating and 121.4 P99.
- Akshay Bhatia ($6,300 / 6.4%) — solid 120.7 P99 ceiling.
- Aaron Rai ($6,400 / 3.7%) — #3 in Tail Leverage; major ownership discount.
- Sepp Straka ($6,000 / 4.5%) — Viable bottom-dollar tournament punt.
Note on Nico Echavarria ($6,100 / 2.3%): Leads the slate in Tail Leverage strictly due to sub-3% ownership, but his 90.8 SACP makes him an aggressive separator rather than a core value play.
Chalk to Caution
- Si Woo Kim ($9,100 / 26.8%) — 112.4 SACP is solid, but high ownership drags his Tail Leverage down to 22.05 (vs. Xander’s 36.51 or Spaun’s 55.29).
- Jacob Bridgeman ($6,800 / 19.8%) & Sahith Theegala ($6,100 / 15.2%) — Overowned relative to lower-owned options with identical ceiling profiles in the same price tier.
Single-Entry / Small-Field Core Pool
Aggressive Leverage: Alex Noren / Aaron Rai / Nico Echavarria
Ceiling Anchor: Scottie Scheffler
Upper-Tier Target: Ludvig Aberg / Xander Schauffele
Midrange Separator: J.J. Spaun
Primary Value: Ben Griffin
Secondary Value: Justin Rose
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