Diamond Life MMA DFS Solver

Top MMA Solver Plays (XVO-V)

Rank	Fighter	XVO	XVO-V
1	Sergei Pavlovich	90.0	100.0
2	Song Yadong	77.1	84.9
3	Rei Tsuruya	65.0	67.4
4	Zhang Mingyang	62.4	66.7
5	Jake Matthews	61.9	66.5
6	Cody Haddon	56.6	60.6
7	Kai Asakura	57.2	60.6
8	Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza	57.8	55.1

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Finish Equity Board

Elite Finish Paths

Sergei Pavlovich

• Highest ceiling profile on slate
• Massive 67.9% win-inside-distance rate
• Highest slate-breaking potential
• Clear spend-up anchor

Song Yadong

• Highest raw projection
• Five-round fight
• Strong leverage profile
• Excellent floor + ceiling combination

Zhang Mingyang

• Ownership inflated but finish equity remains elite
• Pure GPP upside

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Leverage Targets

Positive Tournament Leverage

• Song Yadong
• Sergei Pavlovich
• Cody Haddon
• Jake Matthews
• Kai Asakura

These fighters provide strong combinations of:

• Win probability
• Ceiling access
• Ownership-adjusted upside

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Fragile Chalk

Ownership Risk Profiles

Zhang Mingyang

• Strong ceiling
• Ownership significantly higher than leverage-adjusted expectation

Luis Felipe Dias

• Ownership elevated relative to solver score
• More volatility than field pricing suggests

Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza

• Ceiling remains strong but ownership absorbs much of the edge

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Spend-Up Core

Tier 1

1. Sergei Pavlovich
2. Song Yadong

Tier 2

3. Rei Tsuruya
4. Jake Matthews

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Best Tournament Separators

• Cody Haddon
• Kai Asakura
• Jaqueline Amorim
• Rei Tsuruya

These profiles score well under the Diamond Life leverage-ceiling framework and help reduce lineup duplication.

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Solver-Adjusted Ceiling Leaders

Fighter	Raw Ceiling	Solver-Adjusted Ceiling
Sergei Pavlovich	130.67	156.8
Song Yadong	121.36	138.3
Zhang Mingyang	122.14	130.3
Rei Tsuruya	121.19	129.6
Jake Matthews	120.14	128.1

Diamond Life Final Take

For single-entry and small-field tournaments, the solver’s highest-conviction core is:

Sergei Pavlovich + Song Yadong

The strongest leverage-ceiling tier behind them is:

Rei Tsuruya + Jake Matthews + Zhang Mingyang

Best separator tier:

Cody Haddon + Kai Asakura + Jaqueline Amorim

Sergei Pavlovich grades as the clear #1 overall tournament play on the slate under the hardwired MMA Solver framework.